Go to one of the following independent polling sites:
Gallup
Reuters
Zogby
Roper Center
Pew Research
Quinnipiac University
Harris
Rasmussen Reports
Marquette University
Find a political public opinion poll that was taken over the past year. Describe the question asked, number of respondents, date of the poll, results of the poll, website used, and sampling error.
Do not use a poll that was already used by one of your classmates.
This particular Gallup poll asked if Democrats and Republicans are satisfied with the "aspects of life in America today". The results revealed Democrats and Republicans express satisfaction with the overall quality of life (though Republicans are more likely to feel that way currently than Democrats) and regarding the topic of moral and ethical culture in America, Republicans and Democrats are dissatisfied and almost four in 10 Americans (39%) feel the same. This poll was conducted based on telephone interviews in January 2-7, 2018 and sampled (randomly) 1,024 adults (aged 18 and older) living in the 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. The margin of sampling error (based on the total sample of national adults) is ±4 percentage points at the 95% confidence level, for results based on each total sample of Republicans and Democrats it is ±6 percentage points. The website used was Gallup News (Politics).
ReplyDelete-Anne Dang, 4th period
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DeleteAccording to Reuters.com the poll "Do you approve or disapprove about the way Donald Trump is handling the following issue... US foreign policy?" This has taken over for the past year as there are a lot of controversies about what Trump will do with foreign policies. Some of these policies include relations with China, North Korea, Russia, and Syria. President Trump has acted against Assad's regime in Syria when Assad poisoned 80 innocent people using sarin a nerve gas. President Trump said that it crossed the red line which means that he called a cruise missile attack on Assad's regime and ever since that there wasn't another attack using sarin. This is just one example of the Trump policies and actions that he has taken to protect the U.S. The date of this poll was from Dec 28, 2017 to Jan 28, 2018. The number of respondents to this poll is 8,139 and most people strongly disapprove of his actions (35.7%) or strongly approve (15.8%) with some being somewhat approve (12.9%) lean disapprove (10.4%) and lean approve (10.1%). There could be a sampling error as not everyone votes in these polls and not everyone can express why they either didn’t approve of Trumps public policies or why they approved of it. The website use was Reuters (Election & Politics).
ReplyDeleteMichael Chan 4th period
According to a Gallup poll of over 1,000 respondents, all over the age of 18, 25% of Americans believe that government dissatisfaction is the U.S.'s top problem. This poll, found on the Gallup polling website, published on January 17, 2018, uses data collected between January 2nd and 7th, 2018. Along with the results that when asked what America's main issue of the moment is, 25% of those surveyed responded with "government dissatisfaction, the poll also suggests that 80% of Americans do not approve of the job Congress is doing at the moment. These results, taken from random telephone surveys of the American people, may have a sampling error due to the fact that those Americans who do not have telephones, or those with only one telephone number for a group of more than one individuals over the age of 18 may have been underrepresented. Further, those Americans with children under 18 who may have answered the telephone when the call for the survey occurred and were therefore not polled may also be underrepresented. Additionally, those individuals who deliberately chose not to answer the telephone survey would also have their opinions underrepresented (voluntary response bias). Finally, those individuals that hold a visa or green-card rather than an American citizenship, but still have a telephone number and responded to the survey would pollute the results if the data is being interpreted as the views of American citizens over the age of 18.
ReplyDeleteRadhika Daru
period 5
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ReplyDeleteAccording to Quinnipiac poll on 'whether Trump is a good role model for children' find that there is no age gap and that every party, gender, education, age and racial group, except Republicans, say the president falls short. Republicans say 72 - 22 percent that Trump is a good role model for children. Another key element of the president's base, white voters with no college degree. From January 19 - 23, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,245 voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percentage points, including the design effect. The website used was poll.qu.edu. The sampling error however should be taken into account because the results are based on Live interviewers call landlines and cell phones, which means they had a control on which group of people were contacted and there was no random generator to give all people an opportunity to be called, and not all Americans have phone services, and as the results are not accurate on all of america.
ReplyDeleteEpstein Jacob
Period 4
According to a Pew Research Center poll on "Public’s ratings of government performance" has significantly declined in the span of 2 years. Public trust in government, meanwhile, remains close to a historic low. Just 18% say they trust the federal government to do the right thing “just about always” or “most of the time” – a figure that has changed very little for more than a decade. And while more Republicans say they trust the government today than did so during the Obama administration, just 22% of Republicans and even fewer Democrats (15%) say they trust the government at least most of the time. The questions asked were specific to questions faced in America, such as access to health care, terrorism, poverty, immigration, etc. Polls were set up to ask the people whether they believed the government was doing a good job in 2017 or needed to play a major role in it. The analysis in the report is based on telephone interviews conducted November 29-December 4, 2017 among a national sample of 1,503 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. The website used was http://www.pewresearch.org/methodology/u-s-survey-research/. Sampling error came when measuring the weight parameters of the calls, such as gender, age, education, race, Hispanic origin and nativity and region to parameters. These were calculated, measured, and attributed in the results. The error attributable to sampling that would be expected at the 95% level of confidence for different groups in the survey. In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind that question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of opinion polls. Across all 12 issues, about two-thirds or more of the public say the government should have a major role. And on nearly all issues, positive assessments of the government’s performance lag well behind the shares who think the government should play a major role. Large majorities say the government should play a major role in keeping the country safe from terrorism (94%), responding to natural disasters (89%) and ensuring that food and medicine are safe (87%). Somewhat smaller majorities – about six-in-ten or more – say the government is doing at least a somewhat good job in each of these areas.
ReplyDeleteIn a poll published by Gallup News, it was estimated that around 21% of Americans believe Donald Trump's performance in office after one year has been better than expected while 35% think that Trump has performed worse than expected. When you break these numbers down further by blocking, it is clear that a majority of Republicans, 46% to be exact, believed Trump performed better than expected compared to only 5% of Democrats who believed the same. On the other hand, 52% of Democrats thought Trump performed worse than expected, compared to the 11% of Republicans who believed the same. The remainder thought Trump performed as expected. The poll was taken from January 2-7 in 2018. A random sample of 1,024 adults aged 18 or older was taken from all 50 states and the District of Columbia to achieve these results. The results were found via phone call with 70% of respondents answering from a cellphone and only 30% of respondents answering from a landline. To eliminate possible bias, it would be more helpful to have a poll consisting of 50% landline and 50% cellphone respondents to reduce the sampling error.
ReplyDeleteRendon Reinarz
Period 5
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ReplyDeleteThis comment has been removed by the author.
ReplyDeleteAccording to Roper Center's polls, the popular vote for Hillary Clinton in the 2016 election was 65,844,610 while Donald Trumps popular vote was 62,979,636. Also according to statistics, Clinton's electoral vote was 227 and Trump's was 304. With this information, the polls asked questions such as: "do you think things in the nation are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel things are off on the wrong track?" to which most responded by 62% wrong track. 1,282 people responded to this questionnaire. Another question asked was "What do you think is the most important problem facing the country today?" and the top three contenders of concern for the nation was jobs & economy, presidential candidates, and racism. This survey was completed by 1,331 people. A sampling error for these statistics may arise from the factor that all polls were taking through telephones or cellphones.
ReplyDeleteAmbareen Virani
Period 4
The poll I chose was Gallup's yearly Governance poll. The poll was whether the respondent had a positive or negative view of both the Democratic and Republican parties. The outcomes demonstrated that 44% of Americans rate the Democratic party positively while just 36% rate the Republican party positively. The review was led September 6-10, 2017 with 1022 individuals surveyed. The room for possible error was 4 percent.
ReplyDeletehttps://tinyurl.com/yda2h5r5
Raoof Ali
Period 5
The question asked was if voters would vote for president Trump again in 2020. It was more common for younger voters to say yes than in 2016 since the time he has been officially elected. According to The "Zogby Poll: Trump wins back base! Makes gains among younger voters", Trump's approval rating jumped 12% from the 18-24 age range since May of 2017. 38% of these young voters in the 18-24 age group of the president's job so far. This Zogby online survey is out of 834 likely US voters. This poll was published September 13, 2017.The margin of error for this survey was +/- 3.4 percentage points. https://zogbyanalytics.com/news/795-the-zogby-poll-trump-wins-back-base-makes-gains-among-younger-voters
ReplyDeleteSarah Sultan
Period 4
According to the Quinnipiac University, racial and political gaps leave American voters divided on whether President Donald Trump is "mentally stable," as 45 percent say he is stable and 47 percent say he is not stable. American voters disapprove 57 - 38 percent of the job President Trump is doing. Trump is doing more to divide the nation than to unite the nation, voters say 64 - 31 percent. Every listed party, gender, education, age and racial group says the president is dividing the nation except Republicans, who say 70 - 24 percent that he is doing more to unite the nation, and white voters with no college degree, who are divided 48 - 46 percent. "President Donald Trump can't seem to improve his approval rating, perhaps because of the troubling fact that half of the voters we spoke to think he is mentally unstable," said Tim Malloy. The date of the poll was January 17. The website used was Quinnipiac University.
ReplyDeleteFeba Abraham
Period 4
The questions asked in this Pew Research poll were: Should Citizens should have to prove they really want to vote by registering ahead of time or should everything possible should be done to make it easy for every citizen to vote? and should all citizens should be required to vote in national elections or should every citizen should be able to decide for themselves whether or not to vote in national elections? Over April 19-23, 2017, 1028 people were surveyed. The results showed that most Americans believe that voting should be voluntary and that it should be made easier to vote. The poll was through the Pew Research Center. The overall sampling error was 3.7%.
ReplyDeleteAlan Cummins
4th Period
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ReplyDeleteIn The Zogby Analytics Poll, it conducted a survey where Americans were asked whether they "believe U.S will be viewed as a global leader in science and innovation under President Trump." The majority of Americans were split on whether or not strides in science and innovation will continue under President Trump and how strengthening to fight for public health should be President Trump's high priority. Out of the 1,005 voters, 41% agree that U.S. will be viewed as a global leader in science and innovation,40% disagreed that U.S. will not viewed as global leader in science and innovation, and 19% are not sure. On Americans believing strides in science innovation will continue through Trump's presidency 46% agreed it will, 33% disagreed, and 22% not sure. Majority of voters were split on whether U.S. be viewed as global leader in science and innovation. The poll was conducted March 2017, has a margin error of +/- 3.1 Percentage points.
ReplyDeleteJun Hin Loi
Period 4
Pew Research conducted a poll that resulted in the conclusion that “Majorities Say Government Does Too Little for Older People, the Poor and the Middle Class”.
ReplyDeleteThe analysis in this report is based upon telephone interviews conducted from January 10-15, 2018 among a national sample of 1,503 adults (18+ of age), living in all 50 states. The respondents in the landline sample were randomly selected asking for the youngest adult male or female. Interviews in the cell sample were conducted with the person who answered the phone. The data from the landline and cell phone sample were combined and weighted using a technique that matches gender, age, education, and race. The polls resulted in the conclusion that the majority of Americans say the federal government does not provide enough help for older people (65%), poor people (62%), and the middle class (61%). Along with sampling error, the wording of the question may have produced bias, as well as excluding those who do not have a cell phone or a landline.
Alexis Chan
Period 5
In the Zogby poll,it asks which country is a better ally to the US. It gives you 2 countries & it wants you to pick which one is a better ally. The questions are pertaining to Russia, Saudi Arabia, Mexico, Egypt and China. Another part mentioned was that it asks the reader to rank the statements based on your opinon. The questions included those pertaining to Russia. The US has a moral obligation to defend Russia's neighbors from Russia, Every country who wants to join NATO should be admitted, US and Russia can find common ground in fighting jihadism, and Every country is better-off of being democratic. A random nationwide online survey of a representative sample of 1,324 voters in the US was conducted from June 2017 and has a margin of error of +/-2.7 percentage points.
ReplyDelete-Rithvik Bommareddy
Period 4
A poll conducted by the Gallup polling site was public opinion and the tax reform. It was conducted to investigate if American citizens approved of the new tax reform law. The poll was taken frokm December 1st to the 2nd of 2017. The results showed that about 3 in 10 Americans approved of the bill a few weeks before it was passed. On this bill, the polls revealed that 70% of Republicans, 25% of independents, and only 7% of Democrats approved of this legislation. Due to this result, it is evident that for approval for this tax reform legislation, it will most likely be among the Republicans and independents. As the polarization in American attitudes are tremendous, there is a low probability that Democrats will approve this bill. The supporters of this bill argue that if this bill is to be passed, it will spur economic growth which will lead to creating more jobs.
ReplyDeleteAshel Jaimon
Period 4
A poll conducted on Zogby Analytics asked the following question: "Agree or Disagree: North Korea is a larger threat to the United States than Russia." 1,514 people voted on this November 7, 2017 poll. 60% of voters agree that North Korea is the bigger threat while 26% disagree. Age plays a big part in this, as only 46% of votes aged 18-29 agree, while 75% of voters aged 65 and older agree. The sampling error may come from the generalization of the question. Some may feel that Russia is a bigger threat to the U.S. in certain ways while North Korea is the larger threat in others.
ReplyDeleteAccording to the Gallup poll, within the next 20 years, as many as 47% of the jobs in the U.S. are at risk of being replaced. The question that was asked was "Are Americans ready for the Artificial Intelligence revolution?" It was a mail survey which had 3,297 respondents and was conducted between the dates of September 15 and October 10 2017. 76% of Americans either "agree" or "strongly agree" that AI will fundamentally change the way people work and live within the next 10 years. Also, 73% of workers fear that they will lose their jobs to AI and nearly 49% believe that "soft" skills like teamwork and creativity need to improve in order to keep their jobs. For results based on the total sample of 3,297 U.S. adults, the margin of sampling error is ±2 percentage points at the
ReplyDelete95% confidence level. There was no website used to conduct the poll as it was a mail survey held by Northeaster University and Gallup poll.
According to the Quinnipiac Poll on if "Dreamers Should Stay in America", the poll asks the American people if the kids that came to the U.S. because of DACA should be able to stay in the U.S. or not. The poll had 1,106 people participating in the poll. This poll was released on January 11, 2018. 79% of the American voters that participated in the Quinnipiac poll said that these children should be able to stay in the U.S. and get the chance to apply for citizenship. 7% of the voters said that the "Dreamers" can stay in the U.S. but should not get the chance apply for U.S. citizenship. 11% of the voters said that the "Dreamers should be required to leave the U.S. The Support for allowing dreamers to stay and apply for citizenship ranges from 64% among Republicans to 92% among Democrats, the independent Quinnipiac Poll finds. There was no website used in this poll as the poll was held at Quinnipiac University and all the data was collected from people at the University. This poll also has a sampling error of +/-3.6%, this errors can be because of a design effect.
ReplyDeleteAbin Manuel
5th Period
According to the Gallup poll called "Trump's Leadership Qualities Assessed a Year Later," 73% of Americans describe Trump as "intense" and 83% would describe him as "competitive". The poll was published September 22, 2017. The poll conducted the research by web, using the nationally representative Gallup Panel. This second phase was in the field from July 27-Aug. 10 and included responses from over 31,000 panel participants. Again, each panel participant was asked to indicate how well each of the dimensions fits the candidate (in this case, just Trump), using a 1-to-5 scale, where "1" means the dimension does not describe Trump at all and "5" means it describes Trump perfectly. The website used was Gallup News (Politics). A sampling error could be based on under representation because a majority of poll takers were on the Gallup panel, meaning they needed access to the internet and agree to take the poll.
ReplyDeleteJanice Wilson
Per.5
I went to Zogby to find a political public opinion poll. On the website the poll I found asked the question of whether Trump should prioritize to put science, technology and engineering to work to strengthen our nation's infrastructure. The majority of the respondents, 81% say it is important for President Trump to prioritize science and technology research. Meaning 19% disagree about funding science and technology. The nationwide survey of 1,013 U.S. adults was conducted by Zogby Analytics for Research! The poll was conducted in January 2018 and the results were published on January 30, 2018. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. A sampling error for the poll could be voluntary response, as an individual has to access Zogby and then take the poll consuming their own time.
ReplyDeleteJosie Henry
4th period
In a political poll that I found by Zogby Analytics they re-analyzed voters' attitudes concerning potential 2020 presidential election horse races. The title is "Oprah, Biden, Sanders and Warren easily defeat Trump in 2020; Trump in closer races with Harris, Zuckerberg, and Obama". The people who conducted this poll compared president Trump to other famous people in today's society such as people mentioned in the title. The poll also evaluates and gives reason to why people voters would choose other candidates over Trump. There was 847 likely voters who were involved in the poll/survey. The survey was conducted from January 12th 2018 to January 15th 2018. Based on a confidence interval of 95%, the margin of error for 847 is +/- 3.4 percentage points. They found found Donald Trump is losing considerably against seasoned politicians.
ReplyDeleteZoheb Khawaja
5th
According to the Zogby poll, the poll conducted interviews asking wither Americans should always be guaranteed to keep their constitution rights to keep and bear arms or should the second amendment be altered due to recent gun violence. The survey was conducted 10/19/2017 - 10/25/2017, asking 1,514 likely voters in the US, with a margin error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. 58% believed that they should always be guaranteed their second amendment, while 33% said that the second amendment should be altered and 10% were undecided. Almost every subgroup had a plurality or majority of support for always being guaranteed their second amendment rights.Out of a total of 45 demographics surveyed among voters, the only two groups where there was a majority support for altering the second amendment were among democrats (51%) and self-identified liberals (61%).
ReplyDeleteMichelle Phan
5th Period
The poll I selected was conducted by Marquette University. The question asked was for people's attitudes towards Congress role in dealing with the issue of healthcare. Of the 800 respondents, only 28% voted in support of repealing the Affordable Care Act, thus exposing political pitfalls from many Republicans, including Paul Ryan and Donald Trump. A sampling error could be found in that the poll was only conducted in Wisconsin, a Republican state. Although a majority of the voters were in support of keeping the Affordable Care Act (Democratic beliefs), there could have potentially been a bias towards Republican beliefs because it is a Republican state, though not shown in this study.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.jsonline.com/story/news/politics/2017/03/22/marquette-university-law-school-release-first-poll-since-trumps-election-wednesday/99489304/
Raina Abraham
5th period
In a political toll titled “Which party has better plan for Jobs and Employment,” conducted by Reuters polling website, the highest public support was for the republican party. The following poll is asking people over their trust in political parties and their abilities to develop an economic plan that will boost jobs in America. The poll was conducted from January 4, 2018, to February 4, 2018, among 4,556 respondents. Of the respondents, 37.5% supported the republican party while only 30.0% supported the Democratic party. The data displays that despite President Trump’s unpopularity and the political tension between Democrats and Republicans, a great amount of people still support the Republican administration. However, the minority majority does outweigh the support for the Republican party. The poll has an average 2.7% error between its results.
ReplyDeleteTanmay Shah
Period 4
In a poll done by Pew Research Center conducted from November 29 to December 4, and posted on December 19, 2017, a national sample of 1,503 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia were asked if the election of Donald Trump has led to better or worse race relations. The poll ended up revealing that most Americans believe that the Trump presidency has led to worse race relations with 46% rising to 60% from November to December alone. However the poll excludes responses considered to be "I don't know." Also because the polls were taken over the phone, the wording of the question could also lead to bias of how the respondents answered.
ReplyDeleteKale Wicks
Period 4
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ReplyDeleteIn March 2017, a survey of 1,341 American including an oversample of Hispanic adults, ages 40 and over on who bear the responsibilities and cost of care for Long-term care was conducted by roper center. Results show that majority of Americans believe that the government should help with these costs. Some of them say that Medicare should shoulder the responsibilities of long term cost. this survey indicates that majorities across Democratic, Republican, and independent party lines are in favor of paid family leave.This sample also has a sampling error of +/-3.2%.
ReplyDeleteAyana Mathew
4th period
On January 14-15, 2018, Rasmussen reports conducted a survey on whether Americans dependent on the government for financial aid. The survey of 1,000 American adults was conducted and reports show that 61% of American adults believe that too many Americans dependent on the government for financial aid. However, 9% believe that Americans are not dependent on the government for aid, while 12% are not sure. The margin of sampling error is +/-3 percentage points.
ReplyDeleteShweta Mathews
4th period
Sainath Krishnamurthy
ReplyDeletePeriod 4
The poll I selected was from the Harris Poll about the Republicans trying to eliminate Affordable Care Act and push out Graham- Cassidy. The poll was taken during April 26 - 28 and 2184 Americans over the age of 18 were sampled. The sample shows that 21% of Americans want to repeal ACA, 66.6% of Americans wanted to keep ACA and improve where it is needed, 8% of Americans want to keep ACA the way it is and 4.4% of Americans have no opinion. There was no sampling healthcare listed on the survey.
http://www.theharrispoll.com/politics/Affordable-Care-Act-Repeal.html
I chose a Gallup poll that asked Americans about if they approved or disapproved Donald Trump's job performance as president. Approximately 1,500 adults were interviewed over telephone. As of 1/28/2018, nearly 58% of Americans disapprove of his job, while nearly 38% approved of his job performance. The margin of error is +/-3 percentage points.
ReplyDeleteTom Joseph
4th Period
I chose a Reuters poll that asked over 15,000 non-metro area residing people how they felt about the way Trump has handled taxation, employment, et cetera. The date was 10/5/2017, and the confidence interval was +/- 3 percentage points. The poll was taken over time, however, repeatedly, to see how opinions changed. While in the first four weeks in office, 55% of people in non metro areas approved of Trump, while in September 2017, only 47% approved. Various other percentages of approval went down, and overall, Trump is losing support in rural areas.
ReplyDeleteAnna Mayzenberg
5th Period
Rasmussen reports held a poll on trumps approval rating after his first year from January 10-17. The poll had 1500 responses with 35% at strongly approving, 38% at strongly dissatisfied with the remaining responses at moderate opinion. The sampling error was that it was an online poll, and people could vote as many times as they wished, and the sample could not account for those without computer access.
ReplyDeleteMitchell Arwine period 4
In a Gallop poll from September 26 of 2016 to that October 28, it was found that seniors in high school seem to have less interest in schooling compared to 5th graders. The poll examined whether students said they were engaged, not engaged, or actively disengaged. The poll indicated that 74% of 5th graders felt engaged while only 34% of 12th graders felt engaged. While the percent of engaged students generally decreased, the percent of not engaged or actively disengaged students increased.The poll included about 3,000 schools that opted to participate. That means that the poll could have a volunteer bias as it was not entirely random and it would be more of a cluster sample as opposed to a simple random sample. There is also a correlation between lower grades and saying they are not engaged or actively disengaged. This poll allows for it to be said that students either lose interest and then struggle because they do not care, or that students struggle and then lose interest because they are discouraged.
ReplyDeletehttp://news.gallup.com/opinion/gallup/211631/student-enthusiasm-falls-high-school-graduation-nears.aspx
Robert Slaybaugh
4th period
According to Pew research Center polls conducted Nov. 29-Dec. 4 among 1,503 U.S. adults, asked Americans how they thought the government was handling issues like health care, the environment, and disaster restoration. The government received worse results compared to 2015 from both parties, believing the government is not doing enough for the people and the policies they have put in place since Obama left office. Only eighteen percent of Americans say they fully condone what the government is doing and have faith in future policies.
ReplyDeleteNatalie Dye
Period 5
A certain poll discovered through Gallup research asked “Americans’ preferred approach for their political leaders” on January 9th, 2018. As Bipartisianship has taken a bigger role in today’s political conversations, with senators and even President Trump stating their hope to “work together” more in the upcoming year, citizens were asked if political leaders should compromise or stick to their principles without budging. Results show that out of 3,049 national adults, 18% of Americans think leaders should stick to their beliefs (a new low), while 54% believe in compromise, alongside a 28% portion that stands neutral. In terms of error, the poll’s margin of sampling error for the total of national adults is +/- 4% at the 95% confidence level.
ReplyDeleteJackson Stanley
5th Period
A question that was from the pew research asked "will the issue of which party controls Congress, the Republicans or the Democrats, be a factor in your vote for Congress this year (2018), or not?" Here in this question, they are asking if the party that controls Congress will influence your vote for Congress. 1,503 people responded to this question. The poll was taken January 10-15, 2018. 63% said that it does have an influence, 32% said that it will not, and 5% doesn't know/refused. The website used was the people-press.org. The sampling error is plus or minus 2.9%.
ReplyDeleteCassie De Leon
4th period
A poll conducted on gallup polls on August 18th, 2017 was about Americas views on North Korea before Trumps presidency. The poll asked questions such as, "do you consider North Korea a nuclear threat?" as well as "would you consider North Korea a top problem for the United States?". The poll found that only 8% of Americans favored North Korea and 54% believed that if South Korea was attacked by NK that the United States should provide aid, while only 34% said we should not. The representative size group for the poll was decent but could have been larger to more accurately represent the entire countries views.
ReplyDeleteDominic Kochen
5th Period
According to the The Roper Center, a poll asked "should protecting the environment be a top priority, important but lower priority,not too important, or should it not be done. The number of respondents was 1,503 and was taken from January 10 to January 15. The results found that 62% found it was a top priority and 29% saw it was important but lower priority. 7% saw it was not too important and 1% said it should not be done. The percent error was +/- 3 percentage points
ReplyDeleteJenina Bianty
5th
I choose to use from the Gallup poll, where I found a poll that asked the question of whether Americans would prefer a political party to handle healthcare policy. After compiling the results, the poll found that among all respondents who did favor it, which was not specified, 36% chose the Republican Party, whereas 55% chose the Democratic Party. This poll was taken from June 2017, with the sampling error only to be found is in one sample of a representation, not of the whole entirety at about +/- 3 percentage points.
ReplyDeletehttp://news.gallup.com/opinion/polling-matters/213662/americans-focused-health-law-process-outcomes.aspx?g_source=BLOG_PM&g_medium=topic&g_campaign=tiles
Jono Joseph
5th
A poll for the importance of healthcare as a national issue was taken on Gallup polls. Results for this Gallup poll were based on telephone interviews conducted Aug. 2-6, 2017, with a random sample of 1,017 adults, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states. For results based on the total sample of national adults, the margin of sampling error is ±4 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. In this poll Gallup asked questions such as "what do you think the most important problem is that the US is facing today?" and split these results into economic vs. non economic problems. About 20% of people said that the government was the number one problem while only 17% even gave health care as an issue which was a 1% increase from an identical poll taken in July of 2017.
ReplyDeleteLauryn Weller 4th period
Zogby Analytics recently posed the question to adults in the United States and some other countries too: "How concerned are you with your own government's ability to prevent religious extremists from committing acts of terrorism"? The poll was conducted on 25 November 2017 and the total sample size of Americans were 99 people from a variety of age groups, starting from 18 and going all the way to 50+ years. 78% Of Americans were very and somewhat concerned combined. Age also influenced how people felt about their government's ability to protect them from the threat of religious extremism. Younger adults aged 18-24 (73% very and somewhat concerned combined) were less concerned than older adults aged 50-64 (88% very and somewhat concerned combined). The margin of error is ±3 percent points.
ReplyDeleteKriti Bansal
Period 5
On February 8th, Zogby Analytics asked people which political party was more responsible or the government shutdown. Zogby asked 925 likely voters to respond to this poll. 42.6% said all parties involved are to blame, 19.6% say Trump is to blame, 28.6% say the Democrats are to blame, and 9.3% say Republicans are at fault. Margin of error is 3.2 percentage points. Certain question wording may have biased the responses.
ReplyDeleteBryan Ta
4th Period
From October 25-30, 2017 Pew Research center conducted a poll to answer how the American public felt about the quality of President Trump's performance as compared to April. Out of the 1,504 adults asked in the poll, only 34% approve of the job he is doing in office while a majority 54% disapprove of his handling of issues at home and abroad. The sample error was about 3% due to the fact that the question asked was not simply yes or no, it was a description of the confidence they felt toward Trump, with options including "very confident," "somewhat confident," "not very confident," and "not at all confident." Because of this, it becomes more difficult to produce a 100% accurate poll since there are different interpretations with each answer.
ReplyDeleteJulianna Hastreiter
period 5
The Zogby Poll: Trump and Russiagate
ReplyDeleteIn our recent nationwide online survey of 856 likely US voters, conducted from July 14 to July 16, 2017 we analyzed voters' attitudes regarding President Trump and Russiagate. The margin of error for this survey was +/- 3.4 percentage points.A plurality of likely (44%) believe that Donald Trump Jr.'s meeting with a Russian lawyer was illegal (37% disagree). Published: Wednesday, 19 July 2017 08:45
A Rasmussen Reports poll, which has been conducted approximately once a month since New Years of 2009, shows that this month (January 2018) only 39% of Americans believe that the United States is "moving in the right direction." The question the poll asked was "Is America moving in the right direction, or is it on the wrong track?" The survey was conducted online and via telephone and incorporates data from 2500 "likely voters." The poll was conducted from Jan. 21 - Jan. 25 of 2018 with a margin of sampling error of +/- 2 percent and a 95% level of confidence.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/top_stories/right_direction_wrong_track_jan29
Matthew Whaley
Period 4
A Rasmussen Reports poll, had a poll conducted on January 23, 2018. The poll questioned whether Americans are more receptive to Puerto Rico as a State than D.C. There was a total of 1000 Americans asked. 47% of American Adults now think the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico should become a state, up from 40% in March and 33% in July 2015, just after the news broke of the U.S. territory’s debt crisis. Thirty-four percent (34%) disagree and say Puerto Rico should not be a state, but 19% are not sure. Lastly, the sampling error was +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
ReplyDeleteCameron Walker
Period 4
Stephen Kelly
ReplyDeletePeriod 4
In this report by Zogby on the 2018 West Virginia Senate race, Analytics online survey of 320 likely voters in West Virginia conducted between 9/27/17 -9/30/17 with a MOE of +/-5.5 percentage points focused on three potential general election match-ups for the 2018 West Virginia senate seat held by incumbent Democrat Joe Manchin. The senator leads Republican challengers Congressman Alex Mooney 49%-35% and Congressman Evan Jenkins 49% to 36% respectively. In another potential showdown, Senator Manchin's lead is much less when matched-up against republican opponent, West Virginian Attorney General Patrick Morrisey, who has not officially declared he is running but is thought to be contemplating a run. Manchin leads Morrisey 45% to 38%, with 17% of voters not sure.
sydney sandford
ReplyDelete4th period
In the survey by " The Harris Poll" the topic of choice was american agreement on president trump's military ban against transgenders. The poll took place July 27-28 , 2017. Whereas 1,230 people were asked that were over eighteen. Out of those people 58% disagreed on the ban which includes 40% people asked were current military and 41% with a military past. Also only 1% of people asked concluded that the transgender ban should be trump's main focus. +/- 3 with 95% confidence due to survey size. Yet the survey seems to contain voluntary bias.
Alan John / 5th Period
ReplyDeletePew Research recently posted a poll on the public's expectations on how the New Tax law will effect them, with the response options being "Mostly positive", "Not much effect", "Mostly negative", and "DK".1,503 adults were questioned, the poll occurred from Jan, 10-15 2018, and the totals were 29% Mostly Positive, 33% Not Much Effect, 27% Mostly Negative. With the small sampling size of only 1,503, the sample was not rather representative of the whole population.
Link: http://www.people-press.org/2018/01/24/public-has-mixed-expectations-for-new-tax-law/
Alwyn Joseph
ReplyDelete5th period
Pew Research recently conducted a poll from June 27 to July 9, regarding on the importance people place on politics since Trump was elected president.The people surveyed were asked if they payed more, same or less attention to politics since Trump's election. 2505 adults were surveyed, and 52% of Americans say that they pay more attention to politics since Trump's election, and 62% of women pay more attention, while only 46% of men pay more attention now. A key sampling error could have been asking too many people of a single party, which would bias the data.
In a Zogby Analytics Poll, it conducted a survey where Americans were asked their perception of threats they are facing. The majority of Americans disagree with Senator John McCain that "Putin is a bigger threat than ISIS". Overall 34% of likely voters in the sample agreed (strongly agree and somewhat agree combined) and 51% disagreed. North Korea is perceived as more of a threat than Vladimir Putin as 44% of likely voters in the sample agree that "North Korea is a bigger threat than ISIS" compared to 41% who disagreed. The survey was done online and has responses from 1031 likely US voters, conducted from June 9- June 12, 2017. The corresponding margin of error for this sample is +/-3.1 percent.
ReplyDeleteIsabel Zhou
Period 4
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ReplyDeleteThe January 17, 2018 Quinnipiac Poll describes the split among U.S. voters and whether they think Trump is stable; President is dividing the nation.
ReplyDeletePresident Trump is stable, men say 53 - 40 percent, while women say 53 - 39 percent that he is not, the independent Quinnipiac University Poll finds. White voters say 51 - 43 percent he is stable, as black voters disagree 71 - 15 percent. Republicans say 89 -9 percent that Trump is stable. Democrats say 80 - 10 percent he is not stable. Independent voters are divided as 46 percent say he is stable and 45 percent say he is not stable. American voters disapprove 57 - 38 percent of the job President Trump is doing. Trump is doing more to divide the nation than to unite the nation, voters say 64 - 31 percent. Every listed party, gender, education, age and racial group says the president is dividing the nation except Republicans, who say 70 - 24 percent that he is doing more to unite the nation, and white voters with no college degree, who are divided 48 - 46 percent.
Sampling error was that the poll selected an uneven count of certain parties. The registered voters taking the poll consisted of 24% Republicans, 32% Democrat, 39% Independent, and 5% other/NA.
https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2513
Denise Doyle
Period 5
I chose Gallup’s poll that asked how the people in America views America during the 2016 election between Clinton and Trump. There were no say of the total respondents on the website, only the percentages of who voted for what. The poll ran from November 9-13, 2016.21% of the people voted said that we are in agreement and are feel united. 77% said we as a nation were “greatly divided”. The last 2% were the sampling error as they had no say/opinion.
ReplyDeletehttp://news.gallup.com/opinion/polling-matters/201728/divided-states-america.aspx
Joel Thomas
Period 5
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ReplyDeleteMarquette University conducted a political poll on the approval ratings of President Trump in Wisconsin and found that 41 percent approval rating among registered voters in Wisconsin, while 51 percent disapprove and 7 percent say that they don’t know whether they approve or not. This poll had more disapproval ratings than their previous poll, but the same positive results.
ReplyDeleteThe poll was conducted June 22-25, 2017. The sample includes 800 registered voters interviewed by cell phone or landline, with a margin of error of +/- 4.5 percentage points.
https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2017/06/28/mlsp43release/
Bryce Del'Homme
5th Period
The poll"Education Update" Asks the question whether textbooks in school are politically correct.More than a 1000 people participated in this poll and was taken on October 18 2017 and the results were 27% of Likely U.S. Voters think most school textbooks are more concerned about accurately providing information, while 52% feel textbooks are more concerned about presenting information in a politically correct manner. Another 21% are not sure.The poll was conducted byhttp://www.pulseopinionresearch.com and had a percentage error of +3 percent.
ReplyDeleteBill bradley
Period 4
A Particular Harris poll surveyed 2,215 people from April 5 to April 20 in order to find out what issues people in specific political parties held in high priority when making a voting selection. Respondants were asked to choose the most important issue (from a given list) to concider when voting for a political position.
ReplyDeleteIt found that Democrats are more likely than Republicans and Independents to place healthcare (49% vs. 31% and 37%), social security (33% vs. 19% and 24%) and the environment (20% vs. 3% and 12%) as their top considerations when choosing between candidates.
Republicans are more likely to say immigration (35% vs. 13% Dem and 25% Ind), terrorism (30% vs. 13% and 18%) and foreign policy (25% vs. 12% and 16%) are among their top priorities.
Independents’ responses sometimes align with those of Democrats, sometimes with Republicans. Independents (28%) and Republicans (33%) are both much more likely than Democrats (16%) to call out taxes as a top voting issue; in contrast, Independents (26%) and Democrats (29%) are more aligned on education’s place among their top voting issues, with Republicans far less likely to select it (14%).
Harris poll was unable to caluclate a sampling error although it did admit that all its polls were subject to one based on who agreed to take the Harris Poll survey.
Wesley Cherry
Period 4
In this report by Gallup, Results are based on face-to-face and telephone interviews with approximately 1,000 adults, aged 15 and older, in each country or area. Between March and November 2017, residents in 134 countries or areas were asked to rate U.S., German and Russian leadership, and residents in 135 countries or areas were asked to rate the leadership of China. For results based on the total samples, the margin of sampling error ranges from ±2.0 percentage points to ±5.1 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. The margin of error reflects the influence of data weighting. In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.
ReplyDeleteDavid Lowery
4th period
Elizabeth Stech
ReplyDeletePeriod 4
This particular Roper Center poll was given in 1945 by the Office of Public Opinion, but the results were later transferred online. The question asked was the following:
Do you think Russia can be trusted to cooperate with us when the war is over?
Just over 50% of people answered yes, just over 30% answered no, and just under 20% of people answered no opinion. At the time, governement was trying to figure out if Russia would be a reliable ally after the Cold War. According to the poll results, over half of the surveyed individuals believed that the United States could trust Russia after the conclusion of the war.
Luke Matthews - Period 5
ReplyDeleteThe polling site that I selected was Reuters. The question that was polled was how much of a threat did the respondents think global warming and climate change would have an impact on the U.S. There were 5,738 respondents and the time frame for the poll was from 06/01 to 09/08 of this year. 30.4 percent saw it as an imminent threat, 21.8 percent saw it as a serious threat, 19.2 percent saw it as a moderate threat, 11.2 percent saw it as no threat, 11 percent saw it as a minimal threat and 6.4 percent weren't sure. The sampling error isn't provided.
Question: who is more responsible for the government shutdowns? Democrats or republicans?
ReplyDelete# of respondents:1224
Date:Feb 18 2018
Results: All parties were responsible (Democrats, republicans, and Trump)
Zogby.com
Mohammad Ejaz 4th period
Kevine Jaimon 5th Period
ReplyDeleteGallup Poll
The following poll was from the Gallup. The poll questioned whether or not Americans believe the media portrays the right news and if its straight. Of the 1,810 Americans polled in March and July of this year, 62% of Democrats believed the media was providing accurate facts, while only 14% of Republicans believed the media had their facts straight. The sampling error was at +/-3 percent.
http://news.gallup.com/poll/216320/republicans-democrats-views-media-accuracy-diverge.aspx